Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Junior R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Sport Recife		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	5	Watch
	1.72	3.50	4.40
	1.65	3.5	4.9	Watch
	1.71	3.85	5.24
	1.75	3.7	4.52	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.65
	1.68	3.67	4.96	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	4.82 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
55%

Draw
25.6%

São Bernardo
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Sport Recife - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 5. Benevenuto (C) 3. Marcelo Ajul 76. Rai 29. Willian Oliveira 7. Patrick de Paula 30. Chrystian Barletta 8. Juan Alano 10. de Pena Carlos 19. Neto Pessoa	1. Alex Alves (G) 97. Augusto 35. Jemerson (C) 90. Luizao 21. Hugo Sanches 14. Lucas Lima 26. Dudu Miraima 6. Para 10. Fabricio Daniel 9. Felipe Garcia 29. Pedrinho
Substitutes
80. Andrade K. 75. Arthur Maron 68. Augusto 21. Brenno (G) 25. Clayson 77. Dudu 96. Edson Lucas 28. Habraao 40. Matheus Baraka 15. Murilo Rhikman 9. Pedro Perotti 23. Ze Gabriel	30. Breninho 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 8. Foguinho 36. Galdino 16. Jota 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 31. Lucas Fernandes 7. Lucas Rian 77. Marcao Silva 11. Pedro Vitor 17. Romisson
Coaches
Soso M.	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Soso M. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
40', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
43', Rai 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
53', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
59', Juan Alano ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
59', Rai ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
65', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
67', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
69', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
73', Lucas Lima ↓, Foguinho ↑,
73', Felipe Garcia ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
76', Jemerson 🟨,
78', Dudu Miraima ↓, Romisson ↑,
78', Pedrinho ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
79', Claudinho ↓, Augusto ↑,
79', de Pena Carlos ↓, Arthur Maron ↑,
82', Luizao 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Patrick de Paula ⚽,
87', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
90+5', Habraao 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).

Recife has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

São Bernardo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recife carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Recife: Augusto (Inactive) Biel Fonseca (Yellow Cards) Diego Hernandez (Back Injury) Fabio Matheus (Ankle Injury) Felipinho (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for São Bernardo: Caio Garcez (Muscle Injury) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for São Bernardo: Daniel Amorim (Inactive).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Recife has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sport Recife - Juventude	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.10.26	São Bernardo - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	São Bernardo - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	América Mineiro - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	São Bernardo - Londrina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	São Bernardo - Sport Recife	0:0

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