The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 33.3%
Draw 29.4%
Bahia 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
29.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
30.7%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
31.8%
50%
Atlético Goianiense - Bahia Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Bahia will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 23.2% – 66.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Roni 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Freitas G. 8. Baralhas 11. Cruz A. 7. Janderson 9. Rodriguez E. 10. Luiz Fernando
22. Marcos Felipe (G) 13. Arias S. 3. Gabriel Xavier 15. Victor Cuesta 25. Iago 5. Rezende 6. Jean Lucas 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 8. Cauly 16. Thaciano 9. Everaldo
Substitutes
20. Derek 17. Gustavo Campanharo 18. Lucas Kal 14. Luiz Felipe 13. Maguinho 22. Max 15. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 16. Rodallega Y. 19. Shaylon 21. Yony Gonzalez
. Barbarosa Sousa R. P. 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 33. David Duarte 14. de Pena C. 2. Gilberto 46. Luciano Juba 44. Marcos Victor 21. Rafael Ratao 80. Roger Gabriel 77. Tiago 31. Vitor Hugo 20. Yago Felipe
Coaches
Vagner Mancini
Rogerio Ceni
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Freitas G. 🟨,
37', Everaldo 🟨,
39', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
45+3', Cruz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Baralhas (A),
61', Victor Cuesta ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
61', Everaldo ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
70', Rodriguez E. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
76', Rezende 🟨,
78', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
78', Thaciano ↓, Tiago ↑,
82', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
84', Cauly ↓, Barbarosa Sousa R. P. ↑,
86', Cruz A. ↓, Shaylon ↑,
87', Janderson ↓, Max ↑,
88', Max 🟨,
90+6', Baralhas ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,
90+8', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 1, Jean Lucas ⚽,
90+11', Jean Lucas 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 3.
Atlético GO has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Bahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Bruno Tubarao
(Injury)
Jan Hurtado
(Red Card)
Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
There will not play in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
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Ronaldo Strada (C) 
Freitas G. 
Arias S. 
Victor Cuesta 
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