The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 40%
Draw 30.7%
Vasco da Gama 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.8%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.9%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
41.7%
41.7%
Atlético Goianiense - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Vasco will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Maguinho 6. Guilherme Romao 4. Pedro Henrique 3. Adriano Martins 7. Cruz A. 5. Freitas G. 8. Baralhas 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando (C) 9. Rodriguez E.
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 32. Rojas R. 3. Leo 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 85. Mateus Carvalho 28. Adson 11. Coutinho 7. David 99. Vegetti P. (C)
Substitutes
12. Emerson Junior (G) 16. Gustavo Campanharo 19. Jan Hurtado 17. Lucas Kal 14. Luiz Felipe 13. Marcao 20. Max 18. Rhaldney 15. Rodallega Y.
90. Alex Teixeira 19. GB 98. JP 13. Keiller (G) 33. Lyncon 10. Payet D. 77. Rayan Vitor 17. Rodriguez E. 2. Rodriguez J. 20. Sforza J. 5. Souza 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Vagner Mancini
Paiva R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Luiz Fernando (A),
32', Maguinho 🟨,
43', Baralhas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', David ↓, Payet D. ↑,
67', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
69', Coutinho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
69', Hugo Moura ↓, Souza ↑,
72', Adriano Martins 🟨,
76', Cruz A. ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
80', Rhaldney 🟨,
83', Rodriguez E. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
83', Shaylon ↓, Max ↑,
85', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
86', Adson ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
90+3', Maguinho 🟥,
90+9', Freitas G. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 1.
Atlético GO has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Vasco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Vasco have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
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Pedro Rangel (G) 
Cruz A. 
Rojas R. 
Vegetti P. (C) 
Jan Hurtado 
Rodallega Y. 
Payet D. 
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