Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	São Paulo		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.23	5.25	10.5
	1.25	5.4	12
	1.24	5.2	15.97
	1.27	4.88	13.27	Watch
	1.25	5	12
	1.26	5.53	12.6
	1.25	5.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.18)	5.27 ↓ (6.13)	12.67 ↓ (13.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
74.9%

Draw
17.8%

Náutico Capibaribe
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

15%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

São Paulo - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 50%). Náutico (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 6. Soares C. 22. Ruan Tressoldi 28. Franco A. 18. Wendell 25. Alisson 20. Marcos Antonio 47. Matheus Alves 48. Lucas Ferreira 17. Andre Silva 10. Luciano	19. Muriel Becker (G) 17. Marcos Ytalo 16. Felipe Santana 33. Carlinhos 23. Igor Fernandes 18. Auremir 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 10. Caio Vitor 12. Kelvin 9. Paulo Sergio (C)
Substitutes
21. Bobadilla D. 13. Diaz E. 43. Felipe Negrucci 32. Ferraresi N. 93. Jandrei (G) 12. Leandro Mathias (G) 45. Lucca Marques 36. Patryck 15. Rodriguinho 49. Ryan Francisco 35. Sabino	2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 39. Eduardo 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 15. Kayon 30. Marco Antonio 3. Rayan 37. Vini 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Caio Vitor ⚽, Patrick Allan (A),
21', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Lucas Ferreira (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Marcos Antonio (A),
51', Luciano 🟨,
51', Auremir 🟨,
58', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
61', Caio Vitor ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
62', Paulo Sergio ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
63', Alisson ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
63', Wendell ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
63', Matheus Alves ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
70', Patrick Allan ↓, Eduardo ↑,
73', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
75', Auremir ↓, Wenderson ↑,
75', Felipe Santana ↓, Rayan ↑,
85', Franco A. ↓, Sabino ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

São Paulo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Recent matches Náutico is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

São Paulo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, São Paulo is certain favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Ceará - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Libertad Asuncion - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	São Paulo - Santos	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.03.25	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
16.10.13	São Paulo - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
03.09.13	Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo	0:1
18.11.12	São Paulo - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
15.08.12	Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo	N/A

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