Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 4

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.35	3.46
	2.1	3.51	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.13	3.34	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)	3.29 ↑ (3.08)	3.29 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
43.9%

Draw
28%

Libertad Loja
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Libertad (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Libertad (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 5. Cagua M. 13. Anaya J. 85. Arce Y. 28. Perea M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 17. Montes J.	12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 5. Gruezo C. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 19. Corozo B. 70. Branda V. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 23. Guisamano J. 33. Chere A.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 16. Caicedo J. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 8. Chaves M. 27. Copete A. 25. Delgado B. 9. Fernandez L. 77. Garcia C. 12. Morales A. (G)	30. Bravo J. 27. Bueno S. 9. Caicedo E. 16. Cifuentes J. 66. Estacio J. (G) 36. Garcia A. 25. Lucas M. 22. Mina J. (G) 63. Valencia C. 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Usucar F.	Leon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Castano M. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
44', Arce Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,
46', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
58', Cagua M. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Anaya J. ⚽, Arce Y. (A),
69', Guisamano J. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
73', Chere A. 🟨,
77', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
78', Chere A. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Branda V. ⚽, Gruezo C. (A),
86', Razzeto S. 🟨,
87', Castano M. 🟨,
87', Estupinan L. ↓, Arce K. ↑,
87', Perea M. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
90', Majao J. ↓, Copete A. ↑,
90', Montes J. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
90+5', Gruezo C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.

Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Técnico Univ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Técnico Universitario - Orense	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Manta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.03.26	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Libertad Loja - Manta	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Orense - Libertad Loja	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.06.25	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	4:1
24.02.25	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	2:2
16.09.24	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	3:0
30.03.24	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0
26.11.23	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	1:1
10.06.23	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0

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