Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	TPS		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.70
	2.55	3.30	2.55	Watch
	2.51	3.59	2.88
	2.49	3.5	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.80
	2.41	3.36	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.9)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.73 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
38.2%

Draw
27.5%

Oulu
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TPS's performance.

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

TPS - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 3. Turkki E. 77. Karkulowski T. 6. Juvanteny P. 99. Visser K. 22. Zaal T. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E.	13. Santos M. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S. 46. Ajoung M. 22. Kaukua T. 21. Mendolin I. 6. Paananen J. 14. Jokelainen N. 30. Makelainen J. 11. Ghezali L. 7. Karjalainen R. (C)
Substitutes
41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 26. Ikonen L. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 17. Sihvonen A. 28. Vakiparta T. 44. Veinbergs N.	18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 27. Kallio E. 8. Ojala M. 19. Omotayo J. 5. Pitkanen M. 99. Schulz N. (G)
Coaches
Pinol I.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Konkkola M. ⚽, Muzaci A. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Muzaci A. ⚽, Konkkola M. (A),
24', Silander S. 🟨,
36', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
45+2', 3 - 0, Konkkola M. ⚽, Visser K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silander S. ↓, Pitkanen M. ↑,
46', Karkulowski T. ↓, Sihvonen A. ↑,
46', Makelainen J. ↓, Jatta K. ↑,
61', Muzaci A. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Konkkola M. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
63', Visser K. ↓, Veinbergs N. ↑,
64', Sipola S. 🟨,
71', Kaukua T. ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
79', Ghezali L. ↓, Kallio E. ↑,
79', Jokelainen N. ↓, Omotayo J. ↑,
80', Juvanteny P. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.

TPS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oulu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oulu: Pirinen J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in TPS: Tsirigotis T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oulu: Pitkanen M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, TPS won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

AC Oulu: 0.46%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Last Results with these Odds

TPS - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.58%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Oulu - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.26	SJK - TPS	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	TPS - FF Jaro	3:2 ✺
23.06.26	Lahti - TPS	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Ilves - TPS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTLL
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	Oulu - Lahti	1:1 ✺
23.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	5:1 ✺
18.06.26	Oulu - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.05.26	Oulu - TPS	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
14.09.19	Oulu - TPS	0:0
13.07.19	TPS - Oulu	1:0
25.05.19	Oulu - TPS	0:1
01.09.17	TPS - Oulu	2:0
08.07.17	Oulu - TPS	0:0
13.05.17	TPS - Oulu	0:1

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