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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 55.7%
Draw 19.3%
Minnesota United 2 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
18.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
18.1%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)
Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Castro J. (G) 33. Baker C. 38. Yamada K. 4. Burney L. 31. Diaw B. 74. Carli E. 45. Kingston P. 32. Kang J. 36. Tsukanome Y. 90. Gomez S. 95. De Rosario O.
96. Speel W. (G) 36. Kiingi K. 35. Fischer B. 2. Padelford D. 59. Farris J. 90. Mesanvi L. 92. Kabia A. 53. Casillas-Lopez C. 34. Calov C. 19. Shashoua S. 39. Hille L.
Substitutes
47. Alvarez D. 40. Dodzi C. 44. Gaffney C. 30. Helleren L. (G) 83. Katsaros E. 48. Khoury J. 42. Pedder R. 34. Robles D.
33. Chandler K. 41. Mawing D. 64. Saidi I. 42. Schumacher B. 60. Zeruhn K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kiingi K. ↓, Mawing D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diaw B. ↓, Katsaros E. ↑,
46', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
46', Yamada K. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
53', Katsaros E. 🟨,
60', Shashoua S. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
63', Kang J. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Hille L. ⚽, Fischer B. (A),
80', Mesanvi L. 🟨,
83', Carli E. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
88', Casillas-Lopez C. ↓, Schumacher B. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Hille L. (Pen),
1, Kingston P. (Pen),
2, Calov C. (Pen),
2, Gaffney C. (Pen),
3, Farris J. (Pen),
3, Khoury J. (Pen),
4, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
4, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
5, Padelford D. (Pen),
5, Alvarez D. (Pen),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tacoma could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 3.2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 4.3:2.3).
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Castro J. (G) 
Yamada K. 
Diaw B. 
Kang J. 
De Rosario O. 
Speel W. (G) 
Mesanvi L. 
Kabia A. 
Shashoua S. 
Dodzi C. 
Katsaros E. 
Khoury J. 
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