Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Tacoma Defiance		Reno

	1	X	2
	4	4.1	1.61
	4	4.33	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.56)	4.22 ↑ (3.8)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
22.7%

Draw
21.6%

Reno
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.7%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

16.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Reno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reno than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tacoma has not chance of playoffs.

Recent matches Tacoma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Reno is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
USL Championship
30.09.20	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	2:1 ✺
24.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
20.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:3 ✺
17.09.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTL
- FC Reno
USL Championship
30.09.20	Reno - Las Vegas Lights	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Reno - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Reno	2:5 ✺
17.09.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.09.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	3:2
08.08.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	2:1
06.03.20	Tacoma Defiance - Reno	1:3
10.09.19	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	5:0
18.05.19	Tacoma Defiance - Reno	1:1
08.07.18	Tacoma Defiance - Reno	1:2
19.05.18	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	1:1

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