Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 15

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.90	2.50
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	2.72	3.02	2.64
	2.74	3.06	2.64	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.6
	2.65	2.94	2.53
	2.65	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.06)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.55 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
33.6%

Draw
30.8%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

29.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atletico Fenix Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 🟥,
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.5%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.26	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Tacuarembó - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Tacuarembó - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	La Luz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Cerrito - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2
10.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	4:2
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0
22.03.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:1
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.15	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:1

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