Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.82	2.28
	3.2	2.91	2.37
	3.3	2.76	2.47	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.3
	3.16	2.84	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	2.81 ↓ (2.98)	2.35 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
28.7%

Draw
32.5%

Rentistas
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30.3%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Tacuarembó - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1.

Tacuarembó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rentistas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rentistas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Rentistas - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.09.25	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	3:1
15.06.25	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	2:1
21.09.24	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	2:0
05.06.24	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1
21.10.23	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1
03.06.23	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	2:0
18.03.23	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	0:2

Upcoming Matches