Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Taffs Well AFC		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.8	2.04
	2.98	3.95	2.1	Watch
	2.93	3.78	2.03
	2.9	3.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.93)	3.83 ↓ (3.94)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
31.3%

Draw
23.9%

Afan Lido
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

23.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

22.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Taffs Well AFC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+3%)

Taffs Well AFC - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 1 - 0, Ferreira G. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Griffiths L. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Griffiths L. ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, Williams D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Taffs Well is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 4.

Taffs Well has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Afan Lido is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Afan Lido will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:18 (average 2.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.25	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Taffs Well AFC - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Baglan Dragons - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Taffs Well AFC - Newport City	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTLL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.25	Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Llanelli - Afan Lido	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Afan Lido - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.08.24	Afan Lido - Taffs Well AFC	1:2
06.04.24	Taffs Well AFC - Afan Lido	4:1
15.12.23	Afan Lido - Taffs Well AFC	2:2
18.04.23	Taffs Well AFC - Afan Lido	2:0
Welsh League Cup
18.10.22	Taffs Well AFC - Afan Lido	2:1
Welsh Cymru South
12.08.22	Afan Lido - Taffs Well AFC	1:1
11.03.22	Afan Lido - Taffs Well AFC	1:5

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