Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.11
	2.77	3.66	2.12
	2.89	3.81	2.19	Watch
	2.84	3.66	2.11
	2.8	3.7	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)	2.13 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
32.4%

Draw
24.7%

Trefelin
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefelin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefelin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Bowen D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Trundle L. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Banner J. D. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 2, Carson J. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 3, Trundle L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Newport City - Trefelin	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Trefelin	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Trefelin - Llantwit Major	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
13.01.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	1:2
21.10.23	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	1:1
25.02.23	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	0:3
Welsh League Cup
06.08.22	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	0:5
Welsh Cymru South
02.08.22	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	4:2
02.04.22	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	0:0
09.10.21	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	1:1

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