Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Trefelin		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.1	1.68
	3.28	4.4	1.74
	3.7	4.46	1.75	Watch
	3.84	4.05	1.69
	3.85	4.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.97)	4.22 ↑ (3.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
24.7%

Draw
21.7%

Llanelli
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

23.8%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

23.9%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trefelin's form might have worsened.

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trefelin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llanelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trefelin - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Trundle L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Giardelli A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Newport City - Trefelin	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Trefelin - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Trefelin	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Trefelin - Llantwit Major	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llanelli	1:4 ✺
26.08.24	Llanelli - Pontypridd United	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Baglan Dragons - Llanelli	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Llantwit Major - Llanelli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.02.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	2:2
29.09.23	Llanelli - Trefelin	1:2
29.04.23	Trefelin - Llanelli	0:4
06.12.22	Llanelli - Trefelin	1:4
26.03.22	Trefelin - Llanelli	0:1

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