Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Talanta		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.85	2.45
	2.4	2.95	2.58
	2.51	3.07	2.75	Watch
	2.48	2.99	2.69
	2.9	2.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.72)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)	2.58 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Talanta
34.3%

Draw
30.7%

Kenya CB
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

30.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

30.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talanta's performance.

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kenya CB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kenya CB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Talanta - Kenya CB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kenya CB will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talanta won 0.

In recent matches, Talanta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KCB is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Talanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

KCB will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Talanta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Talanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Talanta - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Kenya CB - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
27.04.25	Ulinzi Stars - Talanta	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Gor Mahia - Talanta	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Talanta - Shabana	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Talanta	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Talanta - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWLLW
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	Kenya CB - Police FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.25	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties ✺
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.11.24	Kenya CB - Talanta	2:1
09.12.23	Kenya CB - Talanta	0:0
08.03.23	Kenya CB - Talanta	1:0
08.01.23	Talanta - Kenya CB	1:2
08.05.22	Kenya CB - Talanta	2:2
20.10.21	Talanta - Kenya CB	1:1

Upcoming Matches