The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 60.1%
Draw 25.6%
Talavera de la Reina 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
28.2%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
27.4%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zamora - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -2 - Zamora (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 22. Sancho J. 10. Ramos C. (C) 11. Romero Morillo A. 16. Lozano M. 7. Kike 9. Eslava J.
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 2. Cuenca D. 5. Molina S. 18. Capo P. 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu (C) 17. Ouacharaf B. 7. Di Renzo G. 19. Gomez V.
Substitutes
14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 6. Garcia M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Lucero R. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 5. Ruiz E.
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 23. Farrando M. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 4. Lopez A. 14. Molina A. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M. 13. Rocafort R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Molina S. ⚽,
7', Cuenca D. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Romero Morillo A. ⚽, Kike (A),
17', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
36', 2 - 1, Lozano M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Capo P. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
47', Pitu 🟨,
61', Kike 🟨,
63', Farrando M. 🟨,
66', Romero Morillo A. 🟨,
66', Sanchez L. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
66', Gomez V. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
77', Eslava J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
82', Romero Morillo A. ↓, Lucero R. ↑,
87', Cuenca D. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
90+1', Kike ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
90+1', Sancho J. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Zamora has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Talavera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Zamora is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Spain
Watch
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Sobron F. (G) 
Athuman I. 
Ouacharaf B. 
Di Renzo G. 
Farrell J. 
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