Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 33

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Tallinna Kalev		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	12.5	7.4	1.14
	13.85	7.86	1.15
	10.45	5.67	1.24	Watch
	13.9	6.45	1.17	Watch
	11	6	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.34 ↑ (10.45)	6.68 ↑ (5.67)	1.17 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
7.5%

Draw
13.8%

Nõmme Kalju
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.9%

16.4%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nõmme Kalju will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 15. Ojamaa H. 44. Dubackic D. 22. Sotsugov D. 17. Smirnov R. 21. Petrunin D. 18. Mihhailov V. (C) 24. Sukunda Z. 10. Jurisoo T. 20. Udebuluzor M.	1. Perk H. (C) 5. Korre U. 78. Mashchenko D. 22. Nikolajev A. 7. Tarassenkov D. 6. Kask K. 8. Musolitin O. 10. Ivanov N. 29. Patrikejevs I. 11. Orlov M. 27. Mannilaan M.
Substitutes
23. Ernits R. 2. Famuditimi H. 8. Laasner K. 12. Purje A. 16. Sal-Al-Saller D. 50. Sambe F. 37. Sheviakov D. 14. Svedovski A. 9. Usta T. 98. Vetkal M. (G)	21. Baptista T. 77. Bernardo J. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 9. Godwin C. 73. Jekimov F. 2. Lillemets J. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 26. Siht R.
Coaches
Barengrub A.	Andreev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Musolitin O. (A),
40', Musolitin O. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Tarassenkov D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojamaa H. ↓, Ernits R. ↑,
64', Ivanov N. ↓, Siht R. ↑,
64', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
64', Mihhailov V. ↓, Sambe F. ↑,
64', Sukunda Z. ↓, Laasner K. ↑,
72', Orlov M. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
72', Smirnov R. ↓, Sal-Al-Saller D. ↑,
73', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
78', Ernits R. 🟨,
83', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0.

Kalev is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nõmme Kalju is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:53. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.10.25	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	6:0 ✺
04.10.25	Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
20.07.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	6:2
01.06.25	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju	0:1
Estonian Cup
13.05.25	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju	0:5
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.04.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	6:1
22.09.24	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	3:1
03.08.24	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme Kalju	0:2
18.06.24	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	2:0

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