Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Tambov		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.62
	6	3.45	1.6
	5.2	3.6	1.64
	5.78	3.66	1.69
	5.5	3.7	1.62
	5.6	3.94	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (5.21)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
16.8%

Draw
25.8%

Spartak Moscow
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.7%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

20.6%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	0%	89.2%

Tambov - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Tambov has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Spartak M has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (23%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Recent matches Tambov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spartak M is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Spartak M have a series of guest games.

In this match Spartak M is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tambov won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tambov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tambov
Russian Premier League
20.09.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Tambov	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Tambov	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
12.09.20	Tambov - Ufa	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Rubin Kazan - Tambov	2:2 ✺
25.08.20	Tambov - Sochi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTL
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
20.09.20	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.20	CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
26.08.20	Rotor - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
04.07.20	Spartak Moscow - Tambov	2:3
27.07.19	Tambov - Spartak Moscow	2:0

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