Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)


	El Paso Locomotive		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.15	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.7
	2.91	3.5	2.13
	2.81	3.45	2.31	Watch
	3	3.45	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.19)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.28 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
33.1%

Draw
26.6%

Louisville City
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Paso Locomotive's form might have worsened.

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville City's recent form is better than expected.

El Paso Locomotive - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Waite J. (G) 16. Lyons M. 2. Craig B. 21. Akinyode B. 93. Alfaro J. 18. Moshobane T. 22. Rose L. 4. Stauffer L. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 19. Basuljevic A. 10. Moreno A.	18. Las D. (G) 5. Ordonez A. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 3. Morris J. 7. Serrano R. 23. Wynder E. 17. Davila T. 16. Perez A. 25. Wilson J. 14. Harris W.
Substitutes
77. Abarca D. 9. Dhillon J. 15. Dollenmayer N. 11. Garay J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 31. Hinds N. 8. Moreno L. 24. Yuma 17. Zacarias R.	6. Charpie W. 27. Davila E. 12. Faundez D. (G) 20. Gleadle S. 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 24. Showunmi T.
Coaches
Clarhaut B.	Cruz D.

Preview

El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches El Paso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams El Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
13.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWL
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
04.11.23	Charleston Battery - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Louisville City - Detroit City	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:2 penalties ✺
14.10.23	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.03.23	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	0:3
30.07.22	El Paso Locomotive - Louisville City	0:1
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	5:2

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