Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Tamworth		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.25
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.39	4.85	6.5
	1.33	5.45	7.95
	1.43	4.12	7.41	Watch
	1.37	4.75	7.17
	1.48	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.64 ↑ (4.63)	6.44 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
65.7%

Draw
19.9%

Morecambe
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tamworth - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (C) 15. Donkor K. 5. Digie K. 26. Hollis H. 11. Fairlamb L. 7. Sayer H. 4. Tonks T. 6. Bates A. 19. McGlinchey T. 16. Riley J. 9. Duku I.	1. Mair A. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Kacurri M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 6. Francillette L. 8. Azeez M. 36. Nolan J. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 18. Tollitt B. 7. Edwards G.
Substitutes
18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 27. Lynch O. 31. Maher R. 8. Milnes B. 14. Mols S. 38. Ponticelli J. 12. Rye J.	35. Ascroft H. (G) 19. Campbell M. 9. Panayiotou H. 33. Raikhy A. 20. Sangare M. 14. Sesay A. 28. Sutton E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Nolan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Sayer H. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
61', Riley J. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Edwards G. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),
77', Duku I. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
77', McGlinchey T. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
77', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
78', Edwards G. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Digie K. ⚽, Milnes B. (A),
86', Edwards G. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
90', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,
90+2', Cain J. 🟨,
90+7', Bates A. 🟨,
90+9', Tollitt B. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Tamworth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tamworth is the team to beat.

We predict that Tamworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
01.10.25	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Tamworth - Everton U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW
- Morecambe
English National League
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
31.10.26	Tamworth - Woking	✺
- Morecambe
English National League North
31.10.26	Morecambe - Scarborough Athletic	✺

Tamworth - Morecambe