Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.25
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.39	4.85	6.5
	1.33	5.45	7.95
	1.43	4.12	7.41	Watch
	1.37	4.75	7.17
	1.48	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.64 ↑ (4.63)	6.44 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
65.7%

Draw
19.9%

Morecambe
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Tamworth - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (C) 15. Donkor K. 5. Digie K. 26. Hollis H. 11. Fairlamb L. 7. Sayer H. 4. Tonks T. 6. Bates A. 19. McGlinchey T. 16. Riley J. 9. Duku I.	1. Mair A. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Kacurri M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 6. Francillette L. 8. Azeez M. 36. Nolan J. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 18. Tollitt B. 7. Edwards G.
Substitutes
18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 27. Lynch O. 31. Maher R. 8. Milnes B. 14. Mols S. 38. Ponticelli J. 12. Rye J.	35. Ascroft H. (G) 19. Campbell M. 9. Panayiotou H. 33. Raikhy A. 20. Sangare M. 14. Sesay A. 28. Sutton E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Nolan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Sayer H. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
61', Riley J. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Edwards G. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),
77', Duku I. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
77', McGlinchey T. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
77', Tonks T. ↓, Milnes B. ↑,
78', Edwards G. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Digie K. ⚽, Milnes B. (A),
86', Edwards G. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
90', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,
90+2', Cain J. 🟨,
90+7', Bates A. 🟨,
90+9', Tollitt B. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Tamworth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tamworth is the team to beat.

We predict that Tamworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
01.10.25	Altrincham - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Tamworth - Everton U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW
- Morecambe
English National League
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

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