Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 40

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Tamworth		Chester

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	2.04	2.99	4.35
	2.02	2.99	4.36
	1.95	3.18	4.1
	1.97	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.75)	3.13 ↓ (3.48)	4.09 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
47.6%

Draw
29.7%

Chester
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tamworth's form might have worsened.

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tamworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Tamworth - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Tamworth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tamworth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Scarborough Athletic - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tamworth - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Tamworth - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
20.02.24	Chorley - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL
- Chester City
English National League North
12.03.24	Chester - Southport	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Chester - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Scunthorpe United - Chester	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Chester - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Hereford - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.12.23	Chester - Tamworth	2:0
English National League
25.03.14	Chester - Tamworth	2:0
25.02.14	Tamworth - Chester	3:4

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