Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.5
	1.7	4.05	4.05
	1.71	4.29	3.99	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.2
	1.7	3.82	4.58
	1.71	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.99 ↓ (4.04)	4.22 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
54.8%

Draw
23.3%

Gateshead
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tamworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Tamworth - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gateshead will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Gateshead (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 2. Curley M. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 4. Tonks T. 8. Milnes B. 42. Kurtaran T. 14. Mols S. 27. Lynch O. 11. Fairlamb L. 10. Enoru B.	1. Brooks T. (G) 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 28. Storey L. 19. Beck M. 6. Flint W. 11. Newton T. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 10. Butterfield J. 7. Adom K. 29. Nicholson B.
Substitutes
16. Acquaye B. 6. Bates A. 9. Duku I. 26. Hollis H. 38. Ponticelli J. 13. Rachel D. (G) 12. Rye J.	15. Bakare I. 35. Bone C. 22. Edwards C. 20. John F. 13. Leech P. (G) 14. Nouble F. 39. Thompson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Milnes B. ↓, Bates A. ↑,
29', Martin A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Mols S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Adom K. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽,
65', Newton T. ↓, John F. ↑,
65', Home J. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
67', Edwards C. 🟨,
78', Elliott-Wheeler A. 🟨,
80', Butterfield J. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Mols S. ⚽,
81', Tonks T. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
81', Enoru B. ↓, Acquaye B. ↑,
87', Lynch O. ↓, Duku I. ↑,
90+4', Ponticelli J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 2.

In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gateshead has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Tamworth is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamworth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of English National League for now

Tamworth: 0.45% Gateshead: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	12	4	2	6	20:28	-8	14
24	Gateshead	12	1	1	10	7:27	-20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
30.12.25	Tamworth - Halifax Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Solihull Moors - Tamworth	7:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tamworth - Southend United	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
16.12.25	Tamworth - Manchester United U21	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWW
- Gateshead
English National League
30.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Gateshead - Walsall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1
22.03.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	0:2
08.10.24	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:1
05.04.14	Gateshead - Tamworth	5:0
21.09.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	0:1
02.02.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:0
15.09.12	Gateshead - Tamworth	0:2

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