Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Scunthorpe United		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.5
	1.28	5.7	8.2
	1.29	5.52	8.68	Watch
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.24	5.3	9.55
	1.26	5.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.49)	5.42 ↑ (4.48)	8.82 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
72.7%

Draw
16.9%

Gateshead
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

19.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scunthorpe United's performance.

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gateshead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Scunthorpe United - Gateshead Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Scunthorpe (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Scunthorpe United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Scunthorpe United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Scunthorpe (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mahady R. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 6. Boyce A. (C) 3. Horton B. 33. Denton T. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 10. Roberts C. 17. Ewing O. 7. Howe D. 9. Whitehall D.	1. Brooks T. (G) 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 5. Richardson K. (C) 15. Bakare I. 3. Ferguson D. 10. Butterfield J. 17. Home J. 20. John F. 21. Hurst K. 7. Adom K. 27. Pennant K.
Substitutes
44. Barrows R. 4. Belehouan J. 18. Brogan M. 12. Jones L. (G) 20. Scales K. 16. Sellars-Fleming T. 14. Ubaezuonu C.	35. Bone C. 22. Edwards C. 6. Flint W. 13. Leech P. (G) 34. Melbourne M. 11. Newton T. 14. Nouble F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Richardson K. ↓, Melbourne M. ↑,
35', Melbourne M. 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, Roberts C. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Home J. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
42', Whitehall D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Howe D. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
73', Adom K. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
74', Butterfield J. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
74', John F. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
85', Westbrooke Z. 🟨,
90+2', Bakare I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Whitehall D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Scunthorpe has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gateshead is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.

In this match, Scunthorpe is the clear favorite.

We predict that Scunthorpe will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
26.12.25	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Woking - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
02.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Gateshead
English National League
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Gateshead - Walsall	0:2 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.04.23	Gateshead - Scunthorpe United	2:0
25.10.22	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	3:1

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