Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.33	1.62
	4.69	4.09	1.63	Watch
	4.69	4.1	1.64	Watch
	4.5	4.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↓ (6)	4.21 ↑ (3.8)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
20.7%

Draw
22.2%

Leyton Orient
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.3%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

25.5%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Tamworth - Leyton Orient Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Leyton Orient (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tamworth (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leyton Orient (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 15. Donkor K. 5. Digie K. 26. Hollis H. 11. Fairlamb L. 4. Tonks T. 6. Bates A. 14. Mols S. 8. Milnes B. (C) 10. Enoru B. 9. Duku I.	33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 2. James T. 28. Clare S. 17. Koroma J. 22. Abdulai A. 8. El Mizouni I. 10. Connolly A. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
39. Creaney D. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 2. Curley M. 34. De Silva D. 27. Lynch O. 31. Maher R. 38. Ponticelli J. 28. Price C. 7. Sayer H.	3. Adaramola T. 34. Chinedu P. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 9. Lloyd A. 21. Moorhouse J. 29. Obiero Z. 20. Perkins S. 1. Simkin T. (G) 25. Wellens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Beckles O. 🟨,
61', Abdulai A. 🟨,
61', Koroma J. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
74', Milnes B. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
74', Duku I. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
75', Mols S. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Digie K. (Own goal),
83', Donkor K. ↓, Curley M. ↑,
89', Enoru B. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
90+4', Ballard D. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Leyton Orient is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
25.10.25	Tamworth - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Tamworth - Burnley U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Tamworth - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Tamworth - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWT
- Leyton Orient
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Leyton Orient - Aston Villa U21	1:0 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rotherham United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.13	Tamworth - Leyton Orient	1:1

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