Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Leyton Orient		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.1
	2.12	3.55	3.05
	2.29	3.58	2.94
	1.06	11.60	26.64	Watch
	2.21	3.64	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.36)	5.19 ↑ (3.39)	7.73 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
61.5%

Draw
23%

Doncaster Rovers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doncaster Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doncaster Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Doncaster (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 2 - 50%). Doncaster (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cahill K. (G) 19. Beckles O. (C) 4. Simpson J. 5. Happe D. 28. Clare S. 25. Wellens C. 15. Bakinson T. 8. El Mizouni I. 3. Adaramola T. 10. Connolly A. 32. Ballard D.	1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 12. O'Riordan C. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 33. Close B. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 10. Sbarra J. 11. Gibson J. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 18. Edmonds-Green R. 2. James T. 17. Koroma J. 11. Mitchell D. 20. Perkins S. 26. Phillips J.	8. Broadbent G. 22. Gotts R. 9. Hanlan B. 29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 17. Middleton G. 5. Pearson M.
Coaches
Wellens R.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽,
24', McGrath J. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Connolly A. ⚽, Wellens C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Molyneux L. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
46', Gibson J. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽, Cahill K. (A),
55', Close B. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
55', Sbarra J. ↓, Gotts R. ↑,
63', Clare S. ↓, James T. ↑,
70', Simpson J. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽, Connolly A. (A),
78', Adaramola T. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
79', Ballard D. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
79', Connolly A. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
90+6', El Mizouni I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Leyton Orient could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Craig M. (Knock) Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Doncaster: O'Riordan C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Cardiff City - Leyton Orient	4:3 ✺
27.09.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Reading - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT
- Doncaster Rovers
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:3 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.01.23	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:0
08.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:1
18.03.17	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	1:4
26.11.16	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	3:1
English League One
14.04.15	Leyton Orient - Doncaster Rovers	0:1
21.10.14	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	0:2
19.01.13	Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient	2:0

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