Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia
World	Onefootball


	Crotone		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	2.98	2.98
	2.63	2.99	3.14
	2.4	3	2.97	Watch
	2.3	2.75	2.9
	2.38	2.86	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.88)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)	3 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
37.9%

Draw
31.5%

Catania
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.7%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Crotone - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 6. Di Pasquale D. 72. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 11. Energe A. 9. Gomez G. 96. Zunno M.	57. Dini A. (G) 19. Raimo A. 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 3. Celli A. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 99. D'Ausilio M. 10. Cicerelli E. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 23. Lunetta G.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 25. Guerra W. 27. Maggio M. 19. Marazzotti F. 14. Meli M. 10. Musso A. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 30. Corbari A. 47. Di Noia G. 20. Donnarumma D. 32. Forte F. 73. Pieraccini S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Quaini A. 🟨,
33', Groppelli F. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Gallo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
46', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
51', Sandri M. 🟨,
57', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
57', Raimo A. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Musso A. ⚽,
65', Cicerelli E. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
65', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
70', Groppelli F. ↓, Guerra W. ↑,
78', Energe A. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
82', Zunno M. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
82', Lunetta G. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.12%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Catania - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sorrento - Crotone	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Crotone - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Trapani - Crotone	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Catania - Picerno	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Latina - Catania	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Catania - Casarano	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Altamura - Catania	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Catania - Casertana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Crotone - Catania	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
23.03.25	Catania - Crotone	0:0
10.11.24	Crotone - Catania	3:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Catania - Crotone	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
07.01.24	Crotone - Catania	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Catania - Crotone	4:3 penalties

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