The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barakaldo 54.8%
Draw 27.6%
Tarazona 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
29%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
28.5%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Barakaldo - Tarazona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Perez U. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 15. Muguruza A. 3. Garcia B. 16. Lopez O. 23. Bilbao L. 6. Naveira U. 21. Uriarte K. 20. Martinez J. 18. Santiago P. 9. Sannadi M.
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 23. Rico M. 14. Buyla J. 10. Mena P. 9. Cubillas D. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
24. Ariztia I. 12. Artetxe M. 22. Bujan U. 8. Huidobro J. 19. Isuskiza V. 5. Molina E. 7. Pedernales I. 11. Revilla A. 1. Tena J. (G) 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U. 17. Vicandi A.
18. Alvarez M. 16. Camero M. 17. Gil I. 22. Llacer L. 11. Martin J. 6. Mencia J. 21. Pradera M. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 8. Romero B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Bilbao L. ⚽, Santiago P. (A),
60', Cubillas D. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
60', Areso J. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
64', Martinez J. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
65', Bilbao L. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
66', Martinez Chechu ↓, Romero B. ↑,
66', Mena P. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
80', Buyla J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Sannadi M. ⚽, Santiago P. (A),
82', Uriarte K. ↓, Revilla A. ↑,
82', Sannadi M. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
86', Santiago P. ↓, Txoperena U. ↑,
88', Martin J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Txoperena U. ⚽, Revilla A. (A),
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Barakaldo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.