Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 29

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tartu Welco		Nõmme Kalju U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	5.50	5.50
	1.17	6.00	8.50
	1.42	5.67	5.59
	1.2	7.3	8.33
	1.33	5.60	5.10
	1.48	5.11	5.11
	1.30	5.40	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.18)	5.8 ↓ (6.4)	6.3 ↓ (9.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Welco
69.6%

Draw
15.9%

Nõmme Kalju U21
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76%

14%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Welco's form might have worsened.

Nõmme Kalju U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Laasner K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Kablik H. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Kablik H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 4.

In recent matches, Tartu Welco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nõmme Kalju U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tartu Welco is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 2.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	81:39	42	65
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
10.09.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	2:4 ✺
20.08.26	Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWW
- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
10.09.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	2:4 ✺
20.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	2:4
28.05.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:2
11.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	5:2
23.10.25	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:2
19.07.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	0:3
19.06.25	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:1
01.05.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	0:4

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