Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Tarxien Rainbows		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.95	3.4	1.78
	3.7	3.59	1.93
	3.54	3.64	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.76)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	1.87 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
24.7%

Draw
26%

Marsaxlokk
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.8%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarxien Rainbows's performance.

Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marsaxlokk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarxien Rainbows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsaxlokk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tarxien Rainbows - Marsaxlokk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsaxlokk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marsaxlokk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassar A. (C) 29. Donsu K. 77. Grima M. 37. Ibeh O. 9. Jonata 23. Nhayson 6. Santos T. 54. Tavares R. 7. Tavinho 74. Vella A. 3. Willian	22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 10. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 17. Dodo 99. Majok A. 28. Mihana R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 7. Portelli N. 3. Weder
Substitutes
20. Borg L. 99. Castano J. 4. D'Alessandro M. 21. England W. 88. Gatt K. 18. Mizzi S. 94. Spiteri M. (G) 17. Vella G. 70. Wallisson Bahia 33. Xuereb P. 27. Zango L.	14. Attard E. 18. Barbara A. 23. Caruana T. 24. Fona A. 8. Ghio J. 19. Kofi Mensah J. 20. Mallia M. 26. Maniscalco M. 95. Marcelo Santos 56. Sanchez P. (G) 21. Vella J.
Coaches
Scerri J.	Potenza V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Willian ↓, Zango L. ↑,
29', Ibeh O. 🟥,
33', Minala J. 🟨,
38', Portelli N. 🟨,
42', Corbalan J. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Santos T. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
52', 🟨,
58', Portelli N. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
60', Jonata ↓, Wallisson Bahia ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Majok A. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Majok A. ⚽,
76', Tavinho ↓, Vella G. ↑,
76', Nhayson ↓, Gatt K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marsaxlokk is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Tarxien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWL
- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Marsaxlokk	0:1

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