The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UMECIT 37.2%
Draw 30.8%
Alianza Panama 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
28.2%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UMECIT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
UMECIT - Alianza Panama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
65. Lazo L. (G) 21. Almanza O. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 62. Casazola M. 23. Chanis E. 14. Ford R. 6. Fuentes J. 27. Garcia A. 10. Gomez E. 19. Saldana A. 47. Valderrama B.
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 17. Asprilla J. 5. Campos O. 10. Chiari G. 26. Garces J. 23. Marquinez J. 16. Mitre R. 18. Perdomo R. 11. Spencer D. 21. Tello E. 9. Walters B.
Substitutes
1. Almengor D. (G) 26. Araya J. 77. Diaz A. 17. Edwards A. 9. Murillo J. 2. Noville C. 92. Oliveira D. 11. Rodriguez E.
28. Alvarado J. 51. Carvajal D. 15. Herman A. 2. Landazuri F. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 31. Machado A. 6. Marengo J. 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 19. Vargas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ford R. ⚽,
23', Marquinez J. 🟨,
34', Tello E. 🟥,
41', Gomez E. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Saldana A. ⚽,
60', Edwards A. 🟨,
62', Valderrama B. ↓, Palmezano A. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Alvarado J. ⚽,
72', Almanza O. 🟨,
75', Fuentes J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
80', Chiari G. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
85', Saldana A. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
85', Anderson Gomez N. M. ↓, Avila ↑,
87', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to natural disaster.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 0.
UMECIT is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alianza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, UMECIT has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UMECIT against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Alianza Panama - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Lazo L. (G) 
Almanza O. 
Gomez E. 
Gonzalez J. (G) 
Oliveira D. 
Herman A. 
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