Match Info

J3 League - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.33	2.85	3.15
	2.31	2.98	3.43
	2.39	2.88	3.34
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.3	2.92	3.11	Watch
	2.33	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	2.87 ↓ (3.4)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
39.6%

Draw
31.9%

Kamatamare Sanuki
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 5. Mori R. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Aoshima T. 8. Fukumori K. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 23. Hoshino S.	41. Iida M. (G) 2. Uchida M. 3. Ibayashi A. 99. Tsukegi Y. 33. Kawakami S. 96. Yoshida J. 6. Hasegawa H. 55. Fujii Y. 23. Iwagishi S. 60. Morikawa Y. 22. Ono Y.
Substitutes
32. Ota R. 33. Rafael Costa 19. Shoji H. 22. Takahashi H. 40. Takashima S. 27. Tanno K. (G) 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.	11. Eduardo 15. Iwamoto K. 10. Kawanishi S. 13. Maekawa T. 17. Makiyama K. 32. Matsubara K. (G) 35. Sago S. 9. Takahashi N. 24. Ueno A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Omori H. 🟨,
43', Morikawa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Tanahashi A. ↓, Yagi K. ↑,
60', Hoshino S. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
66', Iwagishi S. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
72', Ono Y. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
76', Aoshima T. ↓, Yoshino H. ↑,
86', Hasegawa H. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
86', Kawakami S. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
90+2', Igarashi T. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
90+2', Fukumori K. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Fujiwara K. ⚽, Ota R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tochigi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Nara Club - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWTLL
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Kochi United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Gifu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.11.18	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi	1:2
17.03.18	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0
22.07.15	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0
17.05.15	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi	0:0
03.08.14	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
05.04.14	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi	0:1

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