Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tenerife		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	2.05	3.1	3.55
	2.18	3.1	3.58
	2.12	3.24	3.45	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.03	3	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.7)	3.66 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
45.6%

Draw
29.4%

Barakaldo
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tenerife - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 29. Fernandez D. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 14. Lopez N. 24. Chapela I. 18. Enric (C)	13. Campos G. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 7. Pedernales I. 15. Castillo I. 5. Molina E. (C) 8. Huidobro J. 20. Mandiang S. 19. Galarza A. 11. Perez E.
Substitutes
17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 23. Jorge J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 8. Perez J. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 22. Valles G. 5. Yaakobishvili A.	23. Albizua U. 12. Cabo J. 17. de Leon J. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 16. Lopez O. 14. Munoz I. 6. Naveira U. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Landazuri A. 🟨,
24', Dufur U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martin D. ↓, Lozano de Vuyst G. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
53', Enric ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
53', Landazuri A. ↓, Yaakobishvili A. ↑,
60', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
60', Mandiang S. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
60', Molina E. ↓, Sabin ↑,
69', Castillo I. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
69', Lopez N. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
69', Chapela I. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
78', Perez E. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Mesa M. ⚽,
80', Mesa M. 🟨,
85', de Jesus B. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Tenerife is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tenerife won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.04.26	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tenerife - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Mérida AD - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Tenerife - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TWTTT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.04.26	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pontevedra - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Barakaldo - Tenerife	2:0

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