Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Tenerife		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.25	5	Watch
	1.83	3	4.9
	1.91	3.16	5.31
	1.95	3	4.4	Watch
	1.87	3.08	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.13 ↓ (3.14)	4.84 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
50.4%

Draw
30.1%

UD Logroñés
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

18.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	14.8%	44.4%

Tenerife - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Logroñés will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Logroñés: 25.7% – 63.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).

Tenerife has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Logroñés has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tenerife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
15.11.20	Las Palmas - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Tenerife - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Fuenlabrada - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
29.10.20	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Tenerife - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTT
- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
15.11.20	UD Logroñés - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Cartagena - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
02.11.20	UD Logroñés - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.10.20	Real Oviedo - UD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
24.10.20	UD Logroñés - Lugo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWL

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