The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 37.7%
Draw 35.7%
Alcorcón 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
35.7%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
25.5%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
22.7%
22.7%
UD Logroñés - Alcorcón Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Logroñés will win (votes: 24 - 54.5%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Logroñés: 39.8% – 69.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Logroñés has a chance of relegated (33%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alcorcón has a chance of relegated (36%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Logroñés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alcorcón has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.