Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Termalica Nieciecza		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.62	3.75	4.6
	1.65	3.9	4.9	Watch
	1.62	4.05	5.12
	1.64	3.9	5
	1.62	3.6	4.8
	1.61	3.9	4.89
	1.65	3.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)	4.87 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
56.9%

Draw
24.1%

Górnik Łęczna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Termalica (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Termalica (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Termalica Nieciecza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 23. Spendlhofer L. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 13. Kubica K. 10. Karasek K. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 6. Wolski M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 86. Strzalek I. 7. Fassbender M.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 6. De Amo J. 95. Roginic M. 3. Grabowski M. 8. Kryeziu E. 10. Deja A. (C) 17. Spacil B. 22. Orlik K. 11. Janaszek F. 19. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
39. Biniek D. 35. Deisadze D. 29. Isik G. 5. Matyjewicz W. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 53. Trubeha A. 12. Wrobel J. 17. Zaviyskyi T.	5. Broda M. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 15. Krawczyk S. 77. Litwa M. 20. Malamis P. 23. Oduko O. 7. Traore S. 25. Zbozien D. 16. Zyra P.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Kubica K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
45', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Strzalek I. 🟨,
58', Orlik K. ↓, Zyra P. ↑,
58', Janaszek F. ↓, Litwa M. ↑,
59', Spacil B. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
66', Karasek K. ↓, Nowakowski J. ↑,
66', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
69', Deja A. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
73', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zaviyskyi T. ↑,
75', De Amo J. 🟨,
76', Kryeziu E. ↓, Malamis P. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Banaszak P. ⚽, Bednarczyk J. (A),
82', Fassbender M. ↓, Wrobel J. ↑,
82', Kubica K. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
90', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
04.05.25	Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	0:3 ✺
10.04.25	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
02.05.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2
28.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
28.10.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	3:0
23.04.23	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
17.09.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.05.22	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
21.11.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	1:1

Upcoming Matches