Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Cosenza		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.2	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.29	3.26	3.56
	2.27	3.26	3.56
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.11	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	3.4 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
43.4%

Draw
28.8%

Ternana
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Nuova Cosenza - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cosenza: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 17. Cimino B. 2. Sgarbi F. 13. Meroni A. 27. Martino P. 14. Calo G. 26. Praszelik M. 31. Canotto L. 30. Mazzocchi S. 34. Florenzi A. 9. Tutino G.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 4. Sorensen F. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 8. de Boer K. 25. Labojko J. 3. Celli A. 9. Raimondo A. 10. Falletti C. 28. Di Stefano F.
Substitutes
20. Arioli A. 19. Crespi V. 11. D'Orazio T. 6. Fontanarosa A. 10. Forte F. 33. La Vardera S. 7. Marras M. 77. Marson L. (G) 3. Rispoli A. 42. Voca I. 21. Zilli M. 98. Zuccon F.	19. Capuano M. 20. Della Salandra E. 65. Dionisi F. 27. Favasuli C. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 30. Garau O. 71. Luperini G. 13. Mantovani V. 73. Marginean I. 66. Pyyhtia N. 18. Vitali T. (G)
Coaches
Caserta F.	Breda R.

Preview

Recent matches Cosenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternana is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cosenza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Sampdoria - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTTL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.11.23	Ternana - Palermo	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Spezia - Ternana	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Ternana - Venezia	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ternana - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	0:0
03.09.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
12.03.22	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
27.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	3:1

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