Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Charlton-Fleming C. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	The New Saints		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	1.08	10.00	16.50
	1.05	10	21
	1.07	14.86	26.04
	1.07	12	22	Watch
	1.04	14	25
	1.07	11	23
	1.06	9.8	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.09)	11.67 ↑ (8.6)	21.93 ↑ (14.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
87.8%

Draw
8%

Cambrian United
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.2%

10.5%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The New Saints - Cambrian United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 18. Holden R. 20. Hughes R. 34. Lock J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 16. Simeu D. 14. Williams D. 9. Young B.	1. Absalom K. (G) 9. Bonthron A. 40. Bright H. 4. Evans A. 6. John A. 5. Jones K. (C) 18. Lewis K. 14. Morris J. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J.
Substitutes
42. Clarke-Phillips R. 15. Farrell E. 37. Jefferies I. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 23. Nolan Z. 17. Williams J. 11. Wilson A.	36. Allen J. 10. Eason L. 21. Gill B. 23. Joseph J. 20. Karadogan J. 13. Morgan M. (G)
Coaches
Harrison C.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lock J. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Young B. ⚽,
15', 3 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
17', 4 - 0, Holden R. ⚽,
22', 5 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Absalom K. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
48', 6 - 0, Young B. ⚽,
61', Redmond D. ↓, Nolan Z. ↑,
61', Lock J. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
61', Hughes R. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
62', 7 - 0, Holden R. ⚽,
64', 8 - 0, Jefferies I. ⚽,
67', Young B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
67', Davies D. ↓, Farrell E. ↑,
71', Morris J. 🟨,
72', Lewis K. ↓, Karadogan J. ↑,
72', John A. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
72', Thomas F. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
73', Allen J. 🟨,
77', Allen J. 🟥,
86', 9 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).

TNS has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Cambrian United is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

TNS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, TNS enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, TNS has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6% Cambrian United: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
9	Cambrian United	12	5	3	4	21:32	-11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.26	Trefelin - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	The New Saints - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Airbus UK Broughton - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.26	Cambrian United - Llandudno	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Caernarfon Town - Cambrian United	9:1 ✺
15.09.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Cambrian United - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
16.03.25	Cambrian United - The New Saints	0:5
Welsh League Cup
23.11.18	Cambrian United - The New Saints	2:1 ET

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