Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ynys Park (Cwmafan)

Referee: Williams B. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Trefelin		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	18.00	11.50	1.06
	22.00	13.00	1.04
	28.57	11.66	1.09
	24	15	1.05	Watch
	28.00	9.30	1.07
	40.00	11.00	1.04
	20.00	12.00	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	25.8 ↓ (36.33)	11.92 ↑ (9.6)	1.06 ↑ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
3.6%

Draw
7.8%

The New Saints
88.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

2.5%

9.6%

87.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Trefelin - The New Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coughlan S. (G) 20. Aman B. 10. Brock T. 4. Caramella-Gerrard L. 7. Georgievsky K. 14. Jones J. 19. Jones J. 5. MacDonald S. 26. Owen K. 2. Thomas M. 11. Ware L.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 18. Holden R. 20. Hughes R. 34. Lock J. 10. Redmond D. 16. Simeu D. 14. Williams D. 9. Young B.
Substitutes
35. Davies O. 18. Degelman O. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 21. Jones H. (G) 15. Parker K. 16. Piper R. 12. Saunders C.	19. Clark B. 42. Clarke-Phillips R. 15. Farrell E. 37. Jefferies I. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 23. Nolan Z. 11. Wilson A.
Coaches
Hill A.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Holden R. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Jones J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Simeu D. ↓, Nolan Z. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Bodenham J. ⚽,
66', Owen K. ↓, Horgan-Evans D. ↑,
66', Aman B. ↓, Piper R. ↑,
73', Lock J. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
73', MacDonald S. ↓, Parker K. ↑,
73', Caramella-Gerrard L. ↓, Degelman O. ↑,
73', Jones J. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Young B. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
79', Holden R. ↓, Farrell E. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Trefelin (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

TNS is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Trefelin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to TNS as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6% Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
11.09.26	Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Holywell Town - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLTL
- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.09.26	The New Saints - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Airbus UK Broughton - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

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