Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 14

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Wales	19:45	Cymru Football TV


	The New Saints		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	1.01	26.00	81.00
	1.02	14.00	30.00
	1.01	27	27	Watch
	1.02	10.00	23.00
	1.03	23.00	70.00
	1.02	13.00	29.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.05)	18.83 ↑ (11)	43.33 ↑ (30.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
92.8%

Draw
5%

Ammanford
2.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.6%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The New Saints - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 22. Davies D. 18. Holden R. 20. Hughes R. 34. Lock J. 23. Nolan Z. 10. Redmond D. 16. Simeu D. 14. Williams D. 9. Young B.	80. Wright T. (G) 5. Bell C. 30. Case J. M. 17. Davies C. L. 26. Davies L. 24. Evans J. 13. Hopkins J. 8. Orme A. 22. Rowe H. 10. Thomas C. 2. Woodhouse S.
Substitutes
19. Clark B. 42. Clarke-Phillips R. 15. Farrell E. 37. Jefferies I. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 17. Williams J. 11. Wilson A.	19. Davies O. 4. Griffiths E. 7. John A. 20. Lloyd H. 23. Owen L. 25. Shirt C. 99. Williams O. (G)
Coaches
Harrison C.	Thomas W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Young B. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Simeu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
46', Lock J. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Young B. ⚽,
60', 5 - 0, Young B. ⚽,
61', Nolan Z. ↓, Farrell E. ↑,
61', Evans J. ↓, Shirt C. ↑,
61', Orme A. ↓, Griffiths E. ↑,
61', Bell C. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
63', 6 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
69', Davies C. L. ↓, John A. ↑,
72', Case J. M. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
74', 7 - 0, Jefferies I. ⚽,
75', Holden R. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
75', Davies D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
75', Young B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
85', 8 - 0, Bodenham J. ⚽,
90', 9 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 13th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

TNS has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Ammanford have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ammanford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to TNS as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	14	13	1	0	53:6	47	40
14	Ammanford	14	2	3	9	10:41	-31	9

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 76.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.26	Airbus UK Broughton - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.10.26	Holywell Town - The New Saints	1:6 ✺
03.10.26	The New Saints - Cambrian United	9:0 ✺
26.09.26	Trefelin - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	The New Saints - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.10.26	Cambrian United - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ammanford - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Flint Town United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Ammanford - Pen-y-Bont	1:5 ✺
15.09.26	Barry Town United - Ammanford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWLLT

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