Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	The New Saints		Sabah

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.55	Watch
	5.50	4.40	1.55
	4.7	3.95	1.62	Watch
	4.98	4.36	1.62
	4.23	3.96	1.74	Watch
	4.55	4.3	1.6
	4.82	4.33	1.59	Watch
	5	4.3	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.2)	4.2 (4.2)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
19.5%

Draw
22.3%

Sabah
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.4%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	5.6%	72.2%

The New Saints - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Sabah will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sabah (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 14. Williams D. 16. Simeu D. 6. Bodenham J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 21. Smith L. 4. Corness D. 15. Farrell E. 8. Brobbel R. 17. Williams J. 20. Hughes R.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 80. Zedadka A. 33. Santos Junior E. A. 5. Dashdamirov R. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 13. Lepinjica I. 21. Simic V. 10. Isayev A. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J.
Substitutes
7. Barton D. 27. Canavan J. 19. Clark B. 22. Davies D. 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 37. Jefferies I. 44. Jenkins G. 34. Lock J. 24. Nadin J. 23. Nolan Z. 26. Phillips L. 31. Woollam B.	88. Fernandes R. 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 17. Mutallimov T. 11. Parris K. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 34. Severina X.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Mickels J. ⚽, Malouda A. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Dashdamirov R. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Williams D. ↓, Davies D. ↑,
49', Hughes R. 🟨,
60', Farrell E. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
60', Smith L. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
69', Mickels J. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
70', Lepinjica I. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
72', Brobbel R. 🟨,
74', Brobbel R. ↓, Lock J. ↑,
76', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
77', Simic V. ↓, Lachaab Y. ↑,
82', Isayev A. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
83', Redmond D. ↓, Nolan Z. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Lock J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

In recent matches, Sabah has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

TNS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sabah has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sabah is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, TNS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sabah Baku: 0.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Sabah Baku	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Sabah - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Glentoran - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.04.26	Barry Town United - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWW
- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Sabah - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Sabah	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ferencvárosi - Sabah	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	Universitatea Craiova - Sabah	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.05.26	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.07.26	Sabah - The New Saints	2:0

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