Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.25	13	Watch
	1.23	6.50	12.50
	1.19	5.9	14.5	Watch
	1.17	7.65	14.72
	1.17	7.31	14.33	Watch
	1.15	7.6	14
	1.19	7.12	14.1	Watch
	1.18	7.2	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	6.94 ↑ (4.75)	13.89 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
79.7%

Draw
13.6%

The New Saints
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

19.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Sabah - The New Saints Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - TNS (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sabah will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (C) 80. Zedadka A. 3. Solvet S. 5. Dashdamirov R. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 13. Lepinjica I. 10. Isayev A. 21. Simic V. 20. Mickels J. 19. Malouda A.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 14. Williams D. 16. Simeu D. 6. Bodenham J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 21. Smith L. 4. Corness D. 15. Farrell E. 20. Hughes R. 17. Williams J. 19. Clark B.
Substitutes
88. Fernandes R. 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 11. Parris K. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 33. Santos Junior E. A. 34. Severina X.	8. Brobbel R. 27. Canavan J. 22. Davies D. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 3. Godwin I. 34. Lock J. 24. Nadin J. 23. Nolan Z. 26. Phillips L. 31. Woollam B.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Mickels J. 🟨,
45+2', Zedadka A. 🟨,
45+2', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
62', Solvet S. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Simic V. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
68', Clark B. ↓, Brobbel R. ↑,
77', Isayev A. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
78', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
83', Williams D. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Parris K. ⚽, Simic V. (A),
89', Williams D. ↓, Davies D. ↑,
90+2', Solvet S. 🟨,
90+4', Mickels J. ↓, McCarthy A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Sabah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

TNS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sabah has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sabah is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sabah Baku: 0.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Sabah Baku	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Sabah	4:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ferencvárosi - Sabah	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	Universitatea Craiova - Sabah	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.05.26	Turan Tovuz - Sabah	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL
- The New Saints
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Glentoran - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.04.26	Barry Town United - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWW

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