Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Germany	Sport 1+
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV


	The Strongest		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.65	3.55	2.02
	3.32	3.45	2.26
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.48	2.1	Watch
	3	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
28.5%

Draw
27.9%

River Plate Montevideo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

The Strongest - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The Strongest is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently The Strongest have a series of guest games.

River Plate will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Club Friendly
26.03.23	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.03.23	Real Santa Cruz - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - The Strongest	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.02.23	Aurora - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWT
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad de Chile	4:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.03.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.04.16	River Plate Montevideo - The Strongest	6:0
16.03.16	The Strongest - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

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