Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	5.5	3.75	1.6
	5.55	4.02	1.65
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	5	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.74)	3.82 ↑ (3.73)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
17.7%

Draw
24.4%

Júbilo Iwata
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

25.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 5. Kawakami C. 24. Sakai S. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 10. Sato R. 38. Amagasa T. 15. Kazama K. 17. Yamanaka A. 7. Kawamoto R. 28. Nagakura M.	21. Miura R. (G) 17. Suzuki Y. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 23. Yamamoto K. 40. Kaneko S. 10. Yamada H. 33. Dudu 18. Germain R.
Substitutes
23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 18. Iwamoto L. 50. Kikuchi K. 9. Kitagawa S. 14. Shiraishi T. 6. Uchida T.	31. Furukawa Y. 29. Gonzalez F. 42. Goto K. 81. Kajikawa Y. (G) 28. Kanuma N. 15. Suzuki K. 27. Yoshinaga M.
Coaches
Otsuki T.	Yokouchi A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Iwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Iwata is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
16.07.23	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
05.07.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0 ✺
25.06.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTTT
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
16.07.23	Júbilo Iwata - Fujieda MYFC	4:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	5:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
05.07.23	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.05.23	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:2
28.11.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
15.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
25.10.20	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1
30.08.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
23.09.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	2:3
24.05.15	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2

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