The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tigre 45.2%
Draw 30.7%
San Martín de Tucumán 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
30.6%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
21.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Tucumán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tigre - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Recent matches Tigre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tigre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tigre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.