Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tigre		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.7	3.1	Watch
	2.65	2.7	3.2
	2.74	2.8	3.28
	2.69	2.73	3.18
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.65	2.69	3.14	Watch
	2.63	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 (2.63)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)	3.13 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
35.7%

Draw
34.2%

Vélez Sársfield
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

32.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

33.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Tigre - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vélez (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tigre (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 40%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 11. Serrago T. 30. Elias J. 5. Leyes B. 22. Lopez S. 29. Russo I. 9. Romero D.	12. Montero A. (G) 32. Silvero T. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 5. Baeza C. 8. Robertone L. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 17. Veron A. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
42. Arias R. 3. Banegas N. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 28. Martinez P. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 72. Rivas M. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 19. Cristaldo L. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 9. Romero B. 10. Valdes D.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Silvero T. 🟨,
13', Lopez S. 🟨,
21', Magallan L. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Alvarez F. (A),
37', Romero D. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moreno V. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
52', Leyes B. 🟨,
63', Veron A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
63', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Romero B. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Laso J. 🟨,
74', Godoy D. 🟨,
80', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
80', Baeza C. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
81', Lopez S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
81', Serrago T. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
90+1', Robertone L. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
90+2', Andrada T. 🟨,
90+5', Romero B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 1.

Recent performances by Tigre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Tigre - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTWW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.07.25	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	2:1
23.01.25	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	3:0
07.11.24	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.24	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	2:2
29.09.23	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
18.09.22	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	2:0

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