Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tlaxcala		Atlante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.55	1.75	Watch
	4.41	3.79	1.81
	4.46	3.95	1.71	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.73
	4.41	3.52	1.7	Watch
	4.25	3.7	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.84)	3.65 ↑ (3.58)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
21.4%

Draw
25.3%

Atlante
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.1%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tlaxcala - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 26. Blanco J. 19. Castaneda S. 17. Castillo E. 9. Christian 10. Figueroa F. 2. Gonzalez P. (C) 1. Govea I. 6. Iniestra A. 3. Santos E. 31. Silva J.	1. Barragan R. (G) 10. Alonzo J. 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 24. Pizzuto E. 9. Puente L.
Substitutes
7. Hernandez E. 12. Lazaro J. 22. Macias B. 13. Mendoza H. (G) 24. Robles E. 25. Rojas H. 11. Salomon O. 20. Sanchez A. 5. Sancho J. 21. Zaragoza A.	26. Beltran R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 17. Mejia L. 16. Ramos R.
Coaches
Gustavo Leal	Carbajal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
31', Figueroa F. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
35', Silva J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Ibarra J. ⚽, Meza H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Blanco J. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
68', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
76', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
76', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
85', Robles E. 🟨,
88', Iniestra A. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
88', Santos E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
88', Castillo E. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
88', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
88', Alonzo J. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
90+4', Castaneda S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.

Tlaxcala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlante is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWL
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.26	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Irapuato - Atlante	0:5 ✺
21.02.26	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.10.25	Atlante - Tlaxcala	3:0
22.02.25	Atlante - Tlaxcala	2:1
07.09.24	Tlaxcala - Atlante	1:0
05.03.24	Atlante - Tlaxcala	2:0
29.07.23	Tlaxcala - Atlante	1:2
23.03.23	Atlante - Tlaxcala	0:2
04.09.22	Tlaxcala - Atlante	0:5

Upcoming Matches