Match Info

Date: 6 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Tobol Kostanay		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.98
	3.55	3.35	1.96
	3.78	3.49	2.02
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.58	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
26.1%

Draw
27%

Ferencvárosi
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.2%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.6%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferencvárosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferencvárosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	10%	78.9%

Tobol Kostanay - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (71 of 90 users predict this - 78.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.46% – 87.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of home games.

Ferencvárosi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
01.07.22	Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay	2:2 ✺
26.06.22	Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay	1:3 ✺
19.06.22	Tobol Kostanay - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
22.05.22	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	4:2 ✺
14.05.22	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Karlsruher	4:1 ✺
25.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0 ✺
22.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Sepsi OSK	0:3 ✺
12.06.22	Ferencvárosi - Shkendija Tetovo	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
14.05.22	Gyirmót - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTW

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