Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Sultangaliev R. (Kaz)


	Zhenis		Kyzylzhar

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.00	3.40
	2.02	3.10	3.15	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.81
	2.1	3	3.6	Watch
	2.01	2.90	3.75
	2.09	3.34	3.44	Watch
	1.98	3.00	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.55)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	3.52 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zhenis
44.6%

Draw
29.6%

Kyzylzhar
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhenis's performance.

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyzylzhar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhenis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyzylzhar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhenis - Kyzylzhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 14. Saulet A. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 13. Tursynbay S. 11. Filipovic A. 7. Kuat I. 29. Zharynbetov S. 10. Imnadze L. 19. Adilio 93. Elder Santana	1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 28. Urosevic S. 27. Gubarev N. 55. Noyok O. 8. Makarenko E. 10. Bjartalid J. 13. Bahoken S. 77. Latifi L. 99. Beugre E.
Substitutes
16. Abuov T. (G) 17. Adilov A. 94. Arystanov N. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 8. Khaseyn M. 3. Kpozo P. 18. Madelkhan B. 88. Martins G. 9. Naumets V. 1. Sotnik I. (G)	96. Abiken A. 11. Cheredinov A. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 22. Kozlenko A. 29. Loginovsky G. 7. Muldinov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 19. Serikuly D. 53. Talyspayev D. (G) 79. Valgushev G. 47. Zhienaliev T.
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Zhukovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Gubarev N. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Imnadze L. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Urosevic S. ⚽, Bjartalid J. (A),
37', Sokolenko A. 🟨,
42', Urosevic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sokolenko A. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
66', Elder Santana 🟨,
72', Filipovic A. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
72', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Madelkhan B. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Imnadze L. ⚽,
77', Gubarev N. ↓, Abiken A. ↑,
78', Cheredinov A. 🟨,
83', Noyok O. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
84', 🟨,
88', Plotnikov M. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Elder Santana (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Urosevic S. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
90+4', Bjartalid J. ↓, Zhienaliev T. ↑,
90+5', Imnadze L. ↓, Besengaliyev Y. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kyzylzhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhenis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Kyzylzhar - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.6%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
09.09.26	Kairat - Zhenis	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWW
- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Kyzylzhar - Atyrau	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Altai Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0
16.08.25	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	1:1
18.05.25	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	0:0
10.11.24	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	0:1
06.04.24	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0

Upcoming Matches