Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Tobol Kostanay		Partizan

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.25
	3.00	3.30	2.15
	2.88	3.5	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.59	2.2
	2.98	3.55	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	3.16	3.4	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
31.3%

Draw
27%

Partizan
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	29.4%	47.1%

Tobol Kostanay - Partizan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Partizan will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busurmanov S. (G) 21. Zhagorov N. 72. Senhadji R. 5. Ndiaye P. 3. Asrankulov R. 10. Chesnokov I. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 13. Cisse A. 30. Guerra L. 99. Lisakovich V. 18. Milovanovic U.	31. Krunic M. (G) 30. Roganovic M. 44. Milic S. 23. Mitrovic S. 24. Djurdjevic V. 11. Vukotic M. (C) 19. Seck D. 90. Alilovic Z. 99. Kostic B. 32. Trifunovic N. 9. Kojzek E.
Substitutes
25. Borsic A. 4. Cavnic N. 22. Marochkin A. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 6. Myakish M. 14. Talal A. 44. Ustimenko D. (G) 19. Zhumat D. 17. Zuev A.	41. Banjic T. (G) 89. Jeh 46. Lekic M. 1. Milosevic M. (G) 5. Milovanovic M. 20. Nwulu S. 33. Petrovic S. 40. Simic N. 7. Traore C. 8. Zekovic A. 39. Zubairu I.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Ilic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Chesnokov I. ⚽, Guerra L. (A),
40', Alilovic Z. 🟨,
44', Trifunovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alilovic Z. ↓, Zekovic A. ↑,
46', Kojzek E. ↓, Jeh ↑,
46', Trifunovic N. ↓, Zubairu I. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Mitrovic S. ⚽, Vukotic M. (A),
63', Milic S. 🟨,
63', Tagybergen A. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
63', Asrankulov R. ↓, Borsic A. ↑,
70', Kostic B. ↓, Traore C. ↑,
78', Milovanovic U. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
81', Vukotic M. ↓, Nwulu S. ↑,
85', Nwulu S. 🟨,
86', Zhagorov N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Traore C. ⚽, Zubairu I. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

Recent performances by Tobol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Partizan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tobol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Tobol Kostanay - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.79%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Partizan - Tobol Kostanay	3:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.08.26	Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Panevėžys	2:1 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Panevėžys - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWT
- FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Partizan - Tobol Kostanay	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
02.08.26	Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	UNA Strassen - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
26.07.26	Mačva Šabac - Partizan	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Partizan - UNA Strassen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Partizan - Tobol Kostanay	3:0

Upcoming Matches