Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Tocantinópolis		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.82
	3.35	3.3	1.95
	3.4	3.2	1.98
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	3.74	3.3	1.94
	3.75	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
24.4%

Draw
27.7%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.4%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tocantinópolis - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Tocantinópolis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ferroviário is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Cordino - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Cordino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	Caucaia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
17.06.23	Parnahyba - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.05.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tocantinópolis	1:0

Tocantinópolis - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide