Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 36

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5	3.8	1.51
	5.5	4	1.53	Watch
	6.11	4.37	1.54
	5.93	4.07	1.54	Watch
	5.8	4	1.44
	5.79	4.05	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↓ (5.7)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
16.3%

Draw
22.8%

Shimizu S-Pulse
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

22.8%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

22.3%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Tochigi - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 40. Takashima S. 5. Otani N. 7. Ishida R. 16. Hyon R. 4. Sato S. 18. Kawana R. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 29. Yano K.	1. Oki Y. (G) 70. Hara T. 4. Hasukawa S. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 5. Kitazume K. 36. Uno Z. 71. Nakamura R. 28. Yoshida Y. 11. Lucas Braga 33. Inui T. 10. Carlinhos
Substitutes
17. Fujitani T. 24. Kanbe K. 1. Kawata S. (G) 32. Miyazaki K. 10. Mori T. 33. Rafael Costa 45. Yamamoto O.	23. Kitagawa K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 13. Miyamoto K. 16. Nishizawa K. 99. Tanque D. 31. Umeda T. (G) 21. Yajima S.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Sumiyoshi J. ⚽,
52', Yano K. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
52', Oshima K. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
52', Kawana R. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
56', Yoshida Y. 🟨,
60', Takashima S. ↓, Rafael Costa ↑,
62', Lucas Braga 🟨,
65', Yoshida Y. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
65', Lucas Braga ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
66', Ishida R. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
70', Carlinhos ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
70', Inui T. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
73', Oki Y. 🟨,
83', Kitagawa K. 🟥,
90+6', Uno Z. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
20.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tochigi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Iwaki - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTWL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
20.10.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mito HollyHock - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Fujieda MYFC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
18.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	4:1
22.07.23	Tochigi - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
29.04.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	2:0

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